Mexico Falls 2-1 to Paraguay in Final 2025 Friendly, Raising World Cup Concerns

When the final whistle blew at the Alamodome in San Antonio on Tuesday, November 18, 2025, Mexico’s 2025 campaign ended not with a roar, but with a sigh. The Mexican national football team lost 2-1 to Paraguay in front of 73,000 fans — a result that, while just a friendly, exposed cracks in the team’s rhythm just months before the 2026 FIFA World Cup kicks off on home soil. The loss came after a chaotic 10-minute spell in the second half, where Paraguay scored twice to overturn a brief Mexican equalizer. And for a team expected to be a contender, this wasn’t just a loss — it was a warning.

Chaotic Second Half Decides the Outcome

Mexico controlled the first half, dominating possession and creating clear chances. Raúl Jiménez headed a cross wide in the 20th minute, and Edson Álvarez fired just off target in the 31st. But despite the pressure, neither side could break through. The scoreline stayed 0-0 at halftime, and with seven changes from the previous match against Uruguay, coach Javier Aguirre was clearly testing his depth — not just his tactics.

Then, in the 48th minute, everything changed. Antonio Sanabria, Paraguay’s sharp striker, pounced on a loose ball inside the box after a miscommunication between defenders Israel Reyes and Jesús Orozco. He fired low past goalkeeper Luis Ángel Malagón. VAR checked for a foul on Malagón — but the goal stood. The Mexican Football Federation had hoped for a clean slate after the fan backlash in Torreón. This was not it.

Five minutes later, Mexico equalized. A handball by Paraguayan defender Julio Inciso in the box was called by referee David Guevara. Jiménez stepped up and buried the penalty — cool, calm, clinical. For a moment, the Mexican bench erupted. The crowd roared. But it lasted only two minutes.

At the 56th minute, a free kick from the right flank by Julio Inciso was flicked on by a Paraguayan forward. The ball bounced wildly in the six-yard box. One defender cleared it — only for it to rebound off Carlos Pineda and land at the feet of Damián Bobadilla, who rose like a man possessed and headed it past Malagón. The goal was messy. Unlucky for Mexico. Brilliant for Paraguay. And it was the winner.

Coaching Decisions Under Scrutiny

Javier Aguirre’s lineup shuffle raised eyebrows. He dropped veteran starter Carlos Acevedo in goal, starting Malagón — a move that backfired after two costly errors. He also gave starts to fringe players like Carlos Pineda and Jesús Ruiz, neither of whom impressed defensively. Seven changes from the Uruguay match? Fine. But the chemistry looked non-existent.

"We didn’t lack effort," Aguirre said post-match. "But we lacked composure in the final third — and in the box. That’s not new. It’s been a problem since March." He acknowledged the pressure of World Cup preparation: "The next 10 months aren’t about wins. They’re about fixing what breaks under pressure." Meanwhile, Paraguay’s coach, Gerardo Martino, praised his squad’s resilience. "We knew Mexico would press. We waited. And when they gave us space, we took it. That’s football."

Historical Edge Doesn’t Mean Current Dominance

Historical Edge Doesn’t Mean Current Dominance

Mexico leads the head-to-head record 10-6-5 in 21 meetings with Paraguay. But the last five matches? Mexico won three, but only by one goal each. The trend is clear: these games are tight. And lately, Paraguay has been the more clinical side. The 1-0 wins in 2022 and 2023 were narrow escapes. This loss in San Antonio? It wasn’t a fluke. It was a pattern.

The absence of key players like Hirving Lozano (injured) and Orbelín Pineda (club duty) hurt. But Aguirre had months to prepare. He didn’t use the friendly to test new systems — he used it to test players. And too many didn’t pass.

What This Means for World Cup 2026

Mexico opens Group A in June 2026 against Canada, then hosts Croatia and host nation USA. The pressure is immense. The expectations? Higher than ever. This loss in Texas doesn’t mean elimination. But it does mean the team’s defensive structure — already questioned after the 0-0 draw with Uruguay — needs urgent repair.

The fans in Torreón booed. The players looked demoralized. Now, after this result, the silence is louder. No one is panicking yet. But the alarm bells are ringing.

What’s Next for Mexico?

What’s Next for Mexico?

The next window is March 2026, with friendlies against Brazil and Colombia. That’s when Aguirre must settle on a core. Goalkeepers, center-backs, and the midfield pivot need clarity. If Malagón remains starter, he’ll need to show consistency. If Jiménez is the focal point, the service around him must improve.

The Mexican Football Federation has already scheduled a technical review meeting for early December. They’ll analyze every minute of this match — and the last three friendlies. The message? No more excuses.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Mexico lose despite controlling the first half?

Mexico dominated possession but lacked cutting edge in the final third, failing to convert clear chances. Paraguay, by contrast, capitalized on two moments of defensive disorganization — Sanabria’s goal came from a miscommunication, and Bobadilla’s winner was a chaotic rebound. The difference wasn’t control — it was execution under pressure.

How did Raúl Jiménez perform in the match?

Jiménez was Mexico’s only consistent threat, scoring the equalizer with a perfect penalty and creating one other clear chance. But he was isolated for long stretches, receiving just two accurate crosses in the second half. His performance highlighted the team’s lack of width and creative support — problems that could be fatal in World Cup knockout matches.

What’s the significance of playing this match in San Antonio?

San Antonio is a major hub for Mexican fans in the U.S., with over 20% of the city’s population identifying as Mexican or of Mexican descent. Playing here lets Mexico test its U.S. fanbase ahead of the World Cup, where they’ll face the U.S. in Dallas. The 73,000 attendance was a strong turnout — but the disappointment was palpable. Fan support matters, but only if the team delivers.

How does this loss compare to Mexico’s previous friendlies in 2025?

Mexico drew 0-0 with Uruguay in Torreón, then lost 2-1 to Paraguay. Before that, they beat Bolivia 3-1 and lost 1-0 to Colombia. The trend is clear: they struggle against organized, counterattacking teams. Paraguay’s style mirrors what the U.S. and Croatia will bring in 2026. If Mexico doesn’t fix their transition defense, they risk early elimination.

Who are the key players to watch in 2026?

Raúl Jiménez remains the offensive anchor, but the defense needs answers. Goalkeeper Luis Ángel Malagón must prove he’s ready, or Carlos Acevedo could return. Midfielders Obed Vargas and Gilberto Mora showed promise but lacked control. The breakout star? 20-year-old winger Jorge Ruvalcaba — he created two chances and looked fearless. He could be the spark Mexico needs.

What’s the timeline for Mexico’s World Cup preparation?

The next international window is March 2026, with friendlies against Brazil and Colombia. Then, the team enters a 10-week training camp in Monterrey before the tournament. Aguirre has until May to finalize his 26-man roster. Every training session from now on will be evaluated for World Cup readiness — no more experimental lineups.